ألكيان ألارمني المعاصر في الجيوسياسة الدولية
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2010
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The article is an analysis of the status of the Armenian state in contemporary international geopolitics in the context of the Genocide and current regional developments.
The author stresses that contemporary regional and international geopolitical calculations continue to circumscribe the recognition of the Genocide, particularly after the regional power, Turkey, was reinstated in its role. Generally speaking, the world has been sympathetic towards the Armenian Cause. However, interests imposed other options and left Turkey at the core of regional and international strategies.
Dr. Bou Malhab discerns two sides of the Armenian Cause: a) that of the historical land, which is the basic cause, and b) the status of the contemporary Armenian state.
The author points out that the Armenian Cause has been open to discussion since the early days of the European world order. She underlines, however, that it has been discussed in a limited and low-profile manner. Accordingly, the author notes that vis-à-vis the low-profile status of the Armenian Cause, Armenian strategy was to demand justice in order for the case to stay alive. This was a vibrant, conscious and realistic undertaking, which was a direct response to what Talaat Pasha, one of the authors of the Armenian Genocide, had notoriously argued: "there is no Armenian question because there are no Armenians".
On another note, the commemoration of the Armenian Genocide had dual result. It both connected Armenian communities worldwide and simultaneously pressured the governments of the host countries to recognize the genocide, which would mean recognition of the right to Armenian historical lands.
The author assesses the factors which influenced the process of sustaining the Armenian Cause. She asserts that the proclamation of Armenian statehood in 1991 marked an end to a long, painful and dark era and the start of a difficult period. She notes that the Nagorno Karabagh conflict was the basic impediment to establishing ties with neighboring countries. It had its socio-economic consequences too. On the other hand, the international recognition of the genocide during the early days of the proclamation of statehood was encouraging. Accordingly, the author stresses that currently two tracks are being developed.
The author argues that for the time being the geographical position of Armenia will not allow the country to hold fully to Armenian expectations. Indeed, Armenia has limited and difficult choices as it is situated between Turkey, Iran, Georgia and Azerbaijan.
The author evaluates the regional position of the neighboring states and their overlapping interests, and stresses that making use of the bond between Armenia and its Diaspora is the strategy of the Armenians. In fact, this bond has become the strategic and natural lifeline of Armenia. In parallel, however, due to the regional needs of the country and for its viability, Armenia is forced to sustain the genocide issue, which means a delicate accommodation of two basic factors: state sustainability and Armenian Diaspora.
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دعد بو ملهب عطا الله، «الكيان الأرمني المعاصر في الجيوسياسة الدولية»، مجلة هايكازيان للأرمنولوجيا، 2010، بيروت، الصفحات ٣١١–٣١٨